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Will China take formal diplomatic action against Japan over the Suzutsuki incident by December 31, 2024?

Suzutsuki•Chinese•Zhejiang Province•Tokyo•Beijing

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the Chinese government or news agencies such as Reuters or BBC

Will Japan issue another formal apology to China over the Suzutsuki incident by December 31, 2024?

Suzutsuki•Chinese•Zhejiang Province•Tokyo•Beijing

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official statements from the Japanese government or news agencies such as Reuters or BBC

Will the dismissed captain of the Suzutsuki be reinstated by March 31, 2025?

Suzutsuki•Chinese•Zhejiang Province•Tokyo•Beijing

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force or news agencies such as Reuters or BBC

What will be the next significant action by Japan related to the Suzutsuki incident by December 31, 2024?

Suzutsuki•Chinese•Zhejiang Province•Tokyo•Beijing

Resolution / Starting Odds

Military policy changes • 25%

No further action • 25%

Further apologies • 25%

Compensation to China • 25%

Official announcements from the Japanese government or news agencies such as Reuters or BBC

What will be the reaction from other countries to the Suzutsuki incident by December 31, 2024?

Suzutsuki•Chinese•Zhejiang Province•Tokyo•Beijing

Resolution / Starting Odds

Calls for diplomatic resolution • 25%

Condemnation of Japan • 25%

No significant reaction • 25%

Support for Japan • 25%

Official statements from other governments or news agencies such as Reuters or BBC

What will be the state of Japan-China diplomatic relations following the Suzutsuki incident by March 31, 2025?

Suzutsuki•Chinese•Zhejiang Province•Tokyo•Beijing

Resolution / Starting Odds

Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%

Improved relations • 25%

Status quo • 25%

Deteriorated relations • 25%

Official statements from the Japanese and Chinese governments or news agencies such as Reuters or BBC