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Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant Announces Significant Next Phase in War Against Hezbollah

Sep 30, 2024, 03:21 PM

Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant announced that the next phase of the war against Hezbollah will begin soon. Speaking with mayors of northern border communities, Gallant emphasized that this phase will be a significant factor in changing the security situation. He also hinted at a potential ground offensive in Lebanon and reiterated Israel's commitment to returning displaced residents from northern communities to their homes. Gallant stated that this phase will be crucial for improving security and completing important military objectives.

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Will displaced residents from northern Israeli communities return to their homes by June 30, 2025?

Israeli•Yoav Gallant•Hezbollah•Gallant•Lebanon•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the Israeli government or major news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Will Israel complete the next phase of the war against Hezbollah by March 31, 2025?

Israeli•Yoav Gallant•Hezbollah•Gallant•Lebanon•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the Israeli Defense Ministry or major news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Will Israel initiate a ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31, 2024?

Israeli•Yoav Gallant•Hezbollah•Gallant•Lebanon•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the Israeli Defense Ministry or major news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

What will be the international response to Israel's next phase in the war against Hezbollah by December 31, 2024?

Israeli•Yoav Gallant•Hezbollah•Gallant•Lebanon•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

No significant response • 25%

Support for Israel • 25%

Strong condemnation • 25%

Moderate condemnation • 25%

Statements from the United Nations, European Union, United States, and other major countries covered by major news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

What will be the outcome of the next phase of the war against Hezbollah by March 31, 2025?

Israeli•Yoav Gallant•Hezbollah•Gallant•Lebanon•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

Significant Hezbollah gains • 25%

Ceasefire agreement • 25%

Significant Israeli military gains • 25%

Stalemate • 25%

Official announcements from the Israeli Defense Ministry or major news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Will there be a leadership change within Hezbollah by June 30, 2025?

Israeli•Yoav Gallant•Hezbollah•Gallant•Lebanon•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%

New leader appointed • 25%

Leadership remains unclear • 25%

Hezbollah leadership disbanded • 25%

Official announcements from Hezbollah or major news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

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