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VisitIsrael and Lebanon Close to Ceasefire; Netanyahu Awaits Cabinet Approval
Nov 24, 2024, 10:19 PM
Israel and Lebanon are reportedly nearing a ceasefire agreement to end hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has held security consultations and is moving forward with the U.S.-proposed ceasefire, pending approval from the Israeli security cabinet. U.S. mediator Amos Hochstein, who threatened to withdraw from the negotiations if a deal is not reached within days, has been instrumental in brokering the agreement. The agreement could be finalized within days and is expected to include a 60-day transition period, during which Israel would withdraw from southern Lebanon and Hezbollah would move heavy weapons north. Israel has received guarantees from the United States for freedom of action in the event of any violations of the agreement.
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Markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Reports of violations from credible news agencies or official statements from Israel or Lebanon.
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or credible news sources like Reuters or BBC.
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Official statements from the U.S. State Department or credible news sources.
Israel • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government, Hezbollah, or credible news sources.
Other • 25%
Hezbollah's heavy weapons relocation • 25%
Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon • 25%
U.S. guarantees for Israel's freedom of action • 25%
Analysis and reports from credible news sources and statements from involved parties.
Approval with conditions • 25%
Unconditional approval • 25%
Rejection • 25%
Postponement • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or credible news sources.