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Israel and Hezbollah Confirm Death of Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut Airstrike

Sep 28, 2024, 08:51 AM

Israel's military announced on Saturday that it had killed Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in an airstrike on Beirut on Friday evening. The airstrike targeted Hezbollah's underground central headquarters located in the southern suburbs of Beirut, known as Dahiyeh. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) stated that Nasrallah was eliminated during the operation. Hezbollah confirmed the death of its leader in an official statement released on Saturday. The attack marks a significant escalation in tensions between Israel and Hezbollah.

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Will Hezbollah launch a major retaliatory attack on Israeli soil by end of 2024?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Reports from major news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Will Hezbollah retaliate against Israel by October 28, 2024?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

News reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, BBC, and Al Jazeera

Will Israel and Lebanon officially declare war by end of 2024?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official statements from the governments of Israel and Lebanon, and major news agencies

Will there be a significant military escalation between Israel and Hezbollah by December 28, 2024?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

News reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, BBC, and Al Jazeera

Will the UN impose new sanctions on Hezbollah by March 28, 2025?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the United Nations

Will the UN Security Council pass a resolution condemning Israel's airstrike by end of 2024?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

United Nations official announcements and major news agencies

What will be the primary form of Hezbollah's retaliation by end of 2024?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

Rocket attacks • 25%

Other • 25%

Cyber attacks • 25%

Ground operations • 25%

Reports from major news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

What will be the primary response from the Lebanese government to the airstrike by November 28, 2024?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

Appeal to the United Nations • 25%

Other • 25%

Diplomatic protest • 25%

Military action • 25%

Official statements from the Lebanese government and news reports

Which country will first officially condemn Israel's airstrike on Beirut by October 28, 2024?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

Russia • 25%

Other • 25%

Iran • 25%

Syria • 25%

Official statements from governments and news reports

Which country will mediate peace talks between Israel and Hezbollah by end of 2024?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

France • 25%

Russia • 25%

USA • 25%

Other • 25%

Reports from major news agencies and official statements from involved countries

Who will be the next leader of Hezbollah by end of 2024?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

Ibrahim Amin al-Sayyid • 25%

Hashem Safieddine • 25%

Other • 25%

Naim Qassem • 25%

Official announcements from Hezbollah and major news agencies

Who will succeed Hassan Nasrallah as Hezbollah leader by December 28, 2024?

Israel•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Dahiyeh•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Nasrallah

Resolution / Starting Odds

Mustafa Badreddine • 25%

Naim Qassem • 25%

Other • 25%

Ibrahim Amin al-Sayyid • 25%

Official announcements from Hezbollah