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Iran Concludes Military Action Against Israel, Warns of Stronger Retaliation if Provoked: Abbas Araghchi

Oct 1, 2024, 09:41 PM

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi announced that Iran has exercised its right to self-defense under Article 51 of the United Nations Charter by targeting Israeli military and security sites. The operation was in response to actions in Gaza and Lebanon, which Iran alleges were genocidal. Araghchi stated that Iran's military action against Israel is concluded unless Israel decides to invite further retaliation. He emphasized that any further response from Israel would result in a stronger and more powerful retaliation from Iran.

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Will Iran retaliate further against Israel by the end of 2024?

Iranian•Abbas Araghchi•Iran•United Nations Charter•Israeli•Gaza•Lebanon•Araghchi•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Verified reports from reputable news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or official statements from the Israeli or Iranian governments

Will Israel take further military action against Iran by the end of 2024?

Iranian•Abbas Araghchi•Iran•United Nations Charter•Israeli•Gaza•Lebanon•Araghchi•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Verified reports from reputable news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or official statements from the Israeli or Iranian governments

Will the UN Security Council pass a resolution condemning Iran's military actions by the end of 2024?

Iranian•Abbas Araghchi•Iran•United Nations Charter•Israeli•Gaza•Lebanon•Araghchi•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official UN Security Council records and announcements

What will be the outcome of the next significant conflict between Israel and Iran by the end of 2024?

Iranian•Abbas Araghchi•Iran•United Nations Charter•Israeli•Gaza•Lebanon•Araghchi•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

No significant conflict • 25%

Both initiate conflict simultaneously • 25%

Israel initiates conflict • 25%

Iran initiates conflict • 25%

Verified reports from reputable news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or official statements from the Israeli or Iranian governments

Who will be the primary mediator in resolving any potential conflict between Israel and Iran by the end of 2024?

Iranian•Abbas Araghchi•Iran•United Nations Charter•Israeli•Gaza•Lebanon•Araghchi•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

European Union • 25%

United Nations • 25%

Other • 25%

United States • 25%

Official announcements from the involved parties and verified reports from reputable news agencies such as Reuters or BBC

Will there be a change in leadership in Iran or Israel due to the conflict by the end of 2024?

Iranian•Abbas Araghchi•Iran•United Nations Charter•Israeli•Gaza•Lebanon•Araghchi•Israel

Resolution / Starting Odds

Change in Iran • 25%

Change in Israel • 25%

Change in both • 25%

No change in leadership • 25%

Official government announcements and verified reports from reputable news agencies such as Reuters or BBC