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Hezbollah Strikes Israeli Military Base in Tel Aviv with Drones and Missiles

Nov 13, 2024, 03:09 PM

Hezbollah, the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group, has claimed responsibility for launching a significant drone attack on the Kirya military base in Tel Aviv, Israel, which is located 120 km from the Lebanese border. The attack targeted the headquarters of Israel's Ministry of Defense, General Staff, War Management Room, and the Air Force's War Control and Oversight Authority. This marks the first time Hezbollah has conducted an aerial assault on this location, using advanced suicide drones. The group also announced a second strike on the same base, employing 'Qader-2' ballistic missiles. Hezbollah's actions are part of their ongoing 'Khaybar operations' against Israeli military targets.

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Hezbollah attacks another Israeli military base by end of 2024?

Hezbollah•Iran•Lebanese•Kirya•Tel Aviv•Israel•Ministry of Defense•General Staff•War Management Room•Khaybar•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Statements from Hezbollah or confirmed reports from credible news agencies

Hezbollah claims another attack on Israeli military targets by end of 2024?

Hezbollah•Iran•Lebanese•Kirya•Tel Aviv•Israel•Ministry of Defense•General Staff•War Management Room•Khaybar•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official statements from Hezbollah or verified reports from international news agencies

Israel retaliates against Hezbollah in Lebanon by end of 2024?

Hezbollah•Iran•Lebanese•Kirya•Tel Aviv•Israel•Ministry of Defense•General Staff•War Management Room•Khaybar•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the Israeli government or credible news outlets reporting on military actions

Israel retaliatory strike on Hezbollah in Lebanon by end of 2024?

Hezbollah•Iran•Lebanese•Kirya•Tel Aviv•Israel•Ministry of Defense•General Staff•War Management Room•Khaybar•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Verified reports from international news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

UN imposes new sanctions on Hezbollah by March 31, 2025?

Hezbollah•Iran•Lebanese•Kirya•Tel Aviv•Israel•Ministry of Defense•General Staff•War Management Room•Khaybar•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

United Nations official announcements or resolutions

Country mediating Israel-Hezbollah talks by June 30, 2025?

Hezbollah•Iran•Lebanese•Kirya•Tel Aviv•Israel•Ministry of Defense•General Staff•War Management Room•Khaybar•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Russia • 25%

Other • 25%

United States • 25%

France • 25%

Official announcements from the mediating country or international news agencies

International community's primary response to Hezbollah's attack by Jan 31, 2024?

Hezbollah•Iran•Lebanese•Kirya•Tel Aviv•Israel•Ministry of Defense•General Staff•War Management Room•Khaybar•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

No significant response • 25%

Call for peace talks • 25%

Condemnation of Israel • 25%

Condemnation of Hezbollah • 25%

Statements from the United Nations, NATO, the European Union, or other major international bodies

Outcome of Israeli investigation into Hezbollah attack by Mar 31, 2024?

Hezbollah•Iran•Lebanese•Kirya•Tel Aviv•Israel•Ministry of Defense•General Staff•War Management Room•Khaybar•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Other measures • 25%

Increased military defenses • 25%

Changes in military leadership • 25%

No significant changes • 25%

Official reports from the Israeli government or military

Outcome of Israel's military response to Hezbollah by Feb 28, 2025?

Hezbollah•Iran•Lebanese•Kirya•Tel Aviv•Israel•Ministry of Defense•General Staff•War Management Room•Khaybar•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Airstrikes in Lebanon • 25%

No significant response • 25%

Diplomatic measures only • 25%

Ground operations in Lebanon • 25%

Verified reports from international news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Primary focus of international response to Hezbollah attack by March 31, 2025?

Hezbollah•Iran•Lebanese•Kirya•Tel Aviv•Israel•Ministry of Defense•General Staff•War Management Room•Khaybar•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%

No significant international response • 25%

Calls for peace talks • 25%

Increased military aid to Israel • 25%

Official statements from international organizations or verified reports from international news agencies

Primary mediator between Israel and Hezbollah by Feb 29, 2024?

Hezbollah•Iran•Lebanese•Kirya•Tel Aviv•Israel•Ministry of Defense•General Staff•War Management Room•Khaybar•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

France • 25%

Other • 25%

United States • 25%

Russia • 25%

Official announcements or news reports on diplomatic efforts