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Hamas Approves U.S.-Backed Phased Cease-Fire Deal in Gaza on July 6

Jul 6, 2024, 09:04 PM

Hamas has given initial approval for a U.S.-backed proposal for a phased cease-fire deal in Gaza. The approval comes after Hamas dropped a key demand that Israel give an up-front commitment for a complete end to the war. This development was confirmed by both a Hamas official and an Egyptian official on Saturday, July 6. The proposed phased cease-fire plan has reportedly received positive feedback from mediators.

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Will Hamas and Israel officially sign the phased cease-fire deal by September 30, 2024?

Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Egyptian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from Hamas, Israeli government, or credible news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Will hostilities between Hamas and Israel resume by December 31, 2024?

Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Egyptian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Reports from credible news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Will the United States provide additional aid to Gaza as part of the cease-fire deal by December 31, 2024?

Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Egyptian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the U.S. government or credible news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

What will be the duration of the initial cease-fire period agreed upon between Hamas and Israel by December 31, 2024?

Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Egyptian

Resolution / Starting Odds

3 to 6 months • 25%

Less than 1 month • 25%

More than 6 months • 25%

1 to 3 months • 25%

Official announcements from Hamas, Israeli government, or credible news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

What will be the main point of contention in the cease-fire negotiations between Hamas and Israel by December 31, 2024?

Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Egyptian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Other • 25%

Humanitarian aid • 25%

Border control • 25%

Prisoner exchange • 25%

Reports from credible news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Who will be the primary mediator of the cease-fire deal between Hamas and Israel by December 31, 2024?

Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Egyptian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Other • 25%

United States • 25%

Egypt • 25%

United Nations • 25%

Official announcements from Hamas, Israeli government, or credible news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera