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Germany Sets Feb 23, 2025 Snap Election After Scholz Fires Finance Minister Lindner

Nov 12, 2024, 09:43 AM

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Social Democrats, along with the Greens and Conservatives, have proposed holding snap elections on February 23, 2025, following the collapse of his centre-left coalition government. The coalition split occurred after Scholz fired Finance Minister Christian Lindner, leading to a loss of confidence in the government's stability. Scholz plans to trigger the election by submitting to a confidence vote in December.

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Christian Lindner to return as a minister before Feb 2025 election?

Olaf Scholz•Social Democrats•Greens•Conservatives•Scholz•Christian Lindner

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the German government or credible news sources such as Deutsche Welle or BBC

Olaf Scholz to trigger a confidence vote by December 2024?

Olaf Scholz•Social Democrats•Greens•Conservatives•Scholz•Christian Lindner

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the German government or credible news sources such as Deutsche Welle or BBC

Social Democrats to lead in polls before Feb 2025 election?

Olaf Scholz•Social Democrats•Greens•Conservatives•Scholz•Christian Lindner

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Polling data from reputable sources such as Infratest dimap or Forsa

Government coalition post-Feb 2025 German election?

Olaf Scholz•Social Democrats•Greens•Conservatives•Scholz•Christian Lindner

Resolution / Starting Odds

Conservatives-Greens • 25%

Social Democrats-Greens • 25%

Other • 25%

Grand Coalition (Social Democrats-Conservatives) • 25%

Official announcements from the German government or credible news sources such as Deutsche Welle or BBC

Next German Finance Minister post-Feb 2025 election?

Olaf Scholz•Social Democrats•Greens•Conservatives•Scholz•Christian Lindner

Resolution / Starting Odds

Candidate from Greens • 25%

Candidate from Social Democrats • 25%

Other • 25%

Christian Lindner • 25%

Official announcements from the German government or credible news sources such as Deutsche Welle or BBC

Party with most seats in Feb 2025 German election?

Olaf Scholz•Social Democrats•Greens•Conservatives•Scholz•Christian Lindner

Resolution / Starting Odds

Other • 25%

Conservatives • 25%

Greens • 25%

Social Democrats • 25%

Official election results from the Federal Returning Officer of Germany