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French 10-Year Bond Yield Hits 3.19% Year-High Amid Macron's Snap Election Call

Jun 10, 2024, 10:13 AM

The French 10-year bond yield has risen to 3.19%, marking its highest level this year. The increase follows President Emmanuel Macron's decision to call a snap election after a recent defeat. The bond yield climbed 11 basis points to 3.21%, with the risk spread over Germany rising to 54 basis points, the highest since January.

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Emmanuel Macron wins snap election?

French•Emmanuel Macron•Germany

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official election results published by the French government

French 10-year bond yield exceeds 3.5% by end of 2024?

French•Emmanuel Macron•Germany

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

French government bond yield data from financial news sources such as Bloomberg or Reuters

French-German bond spread exceeds 60 basis points by end of 2024?

French•Emmanuel Macron•Germany

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Bond market data from financial news sources such as Bloomberg or Reuters

French 10-year bond yield at end of 2024?

French•Emmanuel Macron•Germany

Resolution / Starting Odds

Below 3.0% • 25%

3.5% - 4.0% • 25%

3.0% - 3.5% • 25%

Above 4.0% • 25%

French government bond yield data from financial news sources such as Bloomberg or Reuters

French-German bond spread at end of 2024?

French•Emmanuel Macron•Germany

Resolution / Starting Odds

Above 70 basis points • 25%

Below 50 basis points • 25%

50 - 60 basis points • 25%

60 - 70 basis points • 25%

Bond market data from financial news sources such as Bloomberg or Reuters

Winner of French snap election?

French•Emmanuel Macron•Germany

Resolution / Starting Odds

Emmanuel Macron • 25%

Other • 25%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon • 25%

Marine Le Pen • 25%

Official election results published by the French government