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Egypt's El-Sisi Proposes Two-Day Gaza Ceasefire, Hostage Exchange

Oct 27, 2024, 04:21 PM

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi has proposed a two-day ceasefire in Gaza. The proposal includes the exchange of four Israeli hostages for some Palestinian prisoners. Following the ceasefire, a 10-day negotiation period is planned to discuss a more comprehensive ceasefire agreement. President El-Sisi referred to the Palestinian prisoners as terrorists.

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Will a comprehensive Gaza ceasefire agreement be reached by November 10, 2024?

Gaza•Israeli•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the negotiating parties or international news agencies

Will a two-day Gaza ceasefire occur by October 31, 2024?

Gaza•Israeli•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the Egyptian government or international news agencies

Will the proposed hostage exchange in Gaza occur by October 31, 2024?

Gaza•Israeli•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official statements from involved parties or international news coverage

Countries involved in Gaza ceasefire negotiations by November 10, 2024?

Gaza•Israeli•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Egypt, Israel, Palestine, UN • 33%

Other • 1%

Egypt, Israel, Palestine • 33%

Egypt, Israel, Palestine, USA • 33%

Official announcements from the negotiating parties or international news agencies

Nature of the Gaza ceasefire agreement by November 10, 2024?

Gaza•Israeli•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No agreement • 25%

Full ceasefire • 25%

Other outcome • 25%

Partial ceasefire • 25%

Official announcements from the negotiating parties or international news agencies

Outcome of Gaza ceasefire and hostage exchange proposal by October 31, 2024?

Gaza•Israeli•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Neither occur • 25%

Ceasefire and exchange occur • 25%

Ceasefire occurs, no exchange • 25%

Exchange occurs, no ceasefire • 25%

Official announcements from the Egyptian government, Israeli government, or international news agencies