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VisitCanadian Government Releases Data on $25 Billion GDP Impact from Carbon Pricing
Jun 13, 2024, 04:38 PM
The Canadian federal government has released internal data on the impact of carbon pricing ahead of a Conservative motion demanding its disclosure. The data indicates that carbon pricing will decrease Canada's real GDP by an estimated $25 billion, or 0.9%, by 2030. This contrasts with a previous projection by the Parliamentary Budget Officer in March 2022, which estimated a 1.3% decrease in GDP by 2030. The modelling data also suggests that carbon pricing will lower greenhouse-gas emissions by more than 12% annually by 2030. However, the government has been reluctant to share the data, as it does not account for the cost of climate change or potential economic growth from climate investments. Additionally, some critics argue that the carbon tax will blow a $20 billion-a-year hole in the Canadian economy.
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Markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Official announcements from the Government of Canada, verified by major news outlets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Environmental reports from the Canadian government and verified by international organizations such as the United Nations
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Economic reports from the Canadian Parliamentary Budget Officer and other official economic data sources
More than 12% • 33%
Less than 10% • 33%
10% to 12% • 33%
Environmental reports from the Canadian government and verified by international organizations such as the United Nations
Decrease by more than 1.5% • 25%
Decrease by 0.9% to 1.2% • 25%
Decrease by 1.3% to 1.5% • 25%
Decrease by less than 0.9% • 25%
Economic reports from the Canadian Parliamentary Budget Officer and other official economic data sources
Neutral impact on GDP • 33%
Negative impact on GDP • 33%
Positive impact on GDP • 33%
Economic reports from the Canadian government, Parliamentary Budget Officer, and major economic research organizations