Appropriate re-nominated • 50%

Appropriate not re-nominated • 50%

Does not receive another major award • 50%

Receives another major award • 50%

Does not surpass $1 million weekly gross • 50%

Surpasses $1 million weekly gross • 50%

Average reviews below 6/10 • 34%

Average reviews between 6/10 and 8/10 • 33%

Average reviews above 8/10 • 33%

Extended run on Broadway • 33%

No further productions announced • 34%

National tour announced • 33%

Supporting role replacement • 33%

Lead role replacement • 33%

No major cast change • 34%