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Will Apple make a new investment in another major Silicon Valley company by December 31, 2024?

OpenAI•Wall Street Journal•Apple•iPhone•Silicon Valley

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from Apple or the investment recipient, or major financial news outlets such as Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, or Reuters

Will Apple re-engage in funding discussions with OpenAI by December 31, 2024?

OpenAI•Wall Street Journal•Apple•iPhone•Silicon Valley

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from Apple or OpenAI, or major financial news outlets such as Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, or Reuters

Will OpenAI complete its $6.5 billion funding round by October 5, 2024?

OpenAI•Wall Street Journal•Apple•iPhone•Silicon Valley

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcement from OpenAI or major financial news outlets such as Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, or Reuters

How will OpenAI's valuation change by more than $1 billion by December 31, 2024?

OpenAI•Wall Street Journal•Apple•iPhone•Silicon Valley

Resolution / Starting Odds

No significant change • 25%

Increase by more than $1 billion • 25%

Other • 25%

Decrease by more than $1 billion • 25%

Official announcements from OpenAI or major financial news outlets such as Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, or Reuters

What type of major AI initiative will Apple announce by December 31, 2024?

OpenAI•Wall Street Journal•Apple•iPhone•Silicon Valley

Resolution / Starting Odds

No major AI initiative • 25%

AI Services • 25%

AI Hardware • 25%

AI Software • 25%

Official announcements from Apple or major financial news outlets such as Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, or Reuters

Which major company will provide additional funding to OpenAI by December 31, 2024?

OpenAI•Wall Street Journal•Apple•iPhone•Silicon Valley

Resolution / Starting Odds

Other • 25%

Microsoft • 25%

Google • 25%

Amazon • 25%

Official announcements from OpenAI or the investing companies, or major financial news outlets such as Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, or Reuters