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2024 Set to Be Hottest Year on Record, Exceeding 1.5°C Threshold

Nov 7, 2024, 03:21 AM

2024 is virtually certain to be the hottest year on record, according to multiple sources including the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service. Scientists highlight that this year will exceed the 1.5°C threshold set at the Paris climate conference in 2015. The EU space programme and other experts have confirmed that it would take the impossible to stop 2024 from becoming the warmest year since records began, surpassing the previous record held by 2023.

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Will 2024 be the hottest year on record by Dec 31, 2024?

European Union•Copernicus Climate Change Service•Paris•EU

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Global temperature data published by reputable climate agencies such as NASA, NOAA, or the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service

Will 2024 global temperatures exceed 1.5°C threshold by Dec 31, 2024?

European Union•Copernicus Climate Change Service•Paris•EU

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Reports from climate monitoring organizations such as the IPCC, NASA, or the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service

Will a major climate treaty be amended or introduced by Dec 31, 2024?

European Union•Copernicus Climate Change Service•Paris•EU

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements by international bodies such as the United Nations or major participating countries

Primary cause for 2024 temperature anomaly by Dec 31, 2024?

European Union•Copernicus Climate Change Service•Paris•EU

Resolution / Starting Odds

El Niño • 25%

Greenhouse Gas Emissions • 25%

Solar Activity • 25%

Other • 25%

Reports and analyses from climate science institutions and experts

Which country will announce largest climate funding by Dec 31, 2024?

European Union•Copernicus Climate Change Service•Paris•EU

Resolution / Starting Odds

European Union • 25%

United States • 25%

Other • 25%

China • 25%

Official government announcements and international climate finance reports

Which region will have the highest temperature anomaly in 2024?

European Union•Copernicus Climate Change Service•Paris•EU

Resolution / Starting Odds

Asia • 25%

Antarctica • 25%

Western Canada • 25%

Europe • 25%

North America • 25%

Other • 25%

Climate reports from organizations like the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service or NASA