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Status of Tartus naval base by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Under Russian control • 25%
Under Syrian control • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Abandoned • 25%
Official statements from Russian or Syrian governments, credible news sources
Story
Russia Engages with New Syrian Leadership to Secure Tartus and Hmeimim Bases
Dec 11, 2024, 09:32 AM
Russia is actively engaging with the new Syrian leadership following the ousting of Bashar al-Assad to ensure the security of its military bases in the country. The Kremlin has expressed its desire to see Syria stabilized as soon as possible and is holding meetings regarding the safety of Russian citizens and facilities in Syria. The Russian Foreign Ministry has emphasized the importance of maintaining contacts with all political forces in Syria and has reaffirmed its support for Syria's sovereignty and territorial integrity. The fate of the Tartus naval base and Hmeimim air base, Russia's only military outposts outside the former Soviet Union, remains a critical concern, with the Kremlin stating that securing these bases is of utmost importance.
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Fully Operational • 25%
Partially Operational • 25%
Under Rebel Control • 25%
Abandoned • 25%
Russian forces • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Controlled by Russia • 25%
Controlled by HTS • 25%
Controlled by another entity • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Maintain presence at both bases • 25%
Withdraw from both bases • 25%
Maintain presence at one base • 25%
Other • 25%
Operational and unchanged • 25%
Reduced operations • 25%
Expanded operations • 25%
Closed • 25%