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State responses to Austin's transgender treatment policy by mid-2025
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
At least one other state adopts similar policy • 25%
Multiple states adopt similar policies • 25%
No other states adopt similar policies • 25%
Federal law preempts state policies • 25%
Public statements or official resolutions from other state governments
Story
Austin Votes 10-1 to Limit Enforcement of Transgender Treatment Ban, Includes Gender-Mutilation
May 3, 2024, 04:45 PM
The Austin City Council has passed a resolution by a 10 to 1 vote that would make the enforcement of Texas' ban on gender-affirming care for minors a low priority, effectively making Austin a sanctuary city for such medical treatments, including gender-mutilation procedures and chemical castration. This decision comes in direct defiance of state laws that prohibit gender transition treatments for children. The resolution has sparked significant controversy, with Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and the law's author, Representative Tom Oliverson, criticizing the council's actions. Paxton has vowed to take action against the city for its noncompliance.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Support Austin's stance • 33%
Oppose Austin's stance • 33%
No official stance • 34%
Increase in similar bans • 33%
Decrease in similar bans • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Texas • 25%
Alabama • 25%
Tennessee • 25%
Georgia • 25%
Multiple states adopt similar policies • 25%
Few states adopt similar policies • 25%
No states adopt similar policies • 25%
States repeal existing similar policies • 25%
Multiple States • 33%
Few States • 33%
No States • 34%
0-2 states • 34%
3-5 states • 33%
6+ states • 33%
Adopt similar laws • 33%
No change in current laws • 34%
Tighten abortion restrictions • 33%
Adoption of similar state laws • 25%
Rejection or non-compliance • 25%
Creation of stricter laws • 25%
No significant legislative action • 25%
More than 10 states join • 25%
5 to 10 states join • 25%
Less than 5 states join • 25%
No additional states join • 25%
Multiple new challenges • 33%
Isolated cases • 33%
No new challenges • 34%
New legislation passed related to transgender athletes • 33%
No significant political action taken • 33%
Resignation or dismissal of key educational or state officials • 34%