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Senate Decides 2024 US Vice President Due to Electoral College Tie?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the US Congress or major news outlets
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Electoral College Tie Between Trump and Harris Could Lead to Congressional Decision
Nov 3, 2024, 03:00 PM
As the 2024 US Presidential Election approaches, discussions have emerged about the possibility of an Electoral College tie between candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Although such a tie is mathematically possible with 538 electoral votes, it remains highly unlikely. In the event of a tie, the Twelfth Amendment to the US Constitution provides that Congress would decide the next president. This scenario, which last occurred in the 1824 presidential election, would lead to the House of Representatives choosing the president and the Senate selecting the vice president. The potential for an Electoral College tie has sparked interest and speculation about the unprecedented outcomes it could produce, including the possibility of a Trump-Walz administration.
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House of Representatives decision • 25%
Senate decision for Vice President • 25%
Resolution without contingent election • 25%
Other • 25%
Donald Trump • 33%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Other • 34%
Democrats • 25%
Republicans • 25%
Other • 25%
No majority • 25%
Republican majority • 33%
Democratic majority • 33%
Tied outcome • 34%
J.D. Vance • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other • 25%
Republican • 33%
Democratic • 33%
Split • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
