Loading...
Market
Russia's annual inflation rate to exceed 5% by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official inflation data from the Russian Federal State Statistics Service
Story
Bank of Russia Raises Rate from 19% to 21%, Highest Since 2003, Exceeding Forecasts Amid Surging Inflation
Oct 25, 2024, 10:52 AM
The Bank of Russia has raised its key interest rate from 19% to 21%, exceeding forecasts and marking the highest level since 2003. This third consecutive rate increase reflects policymakers' efforts to combat surging inflation fueled by increased government military spending amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The move surpasses economists' expectations of a 20% rate, with 9 out of 13 economists predicting the lower figure. Labor shortages and additional fiscal spending are contributing to mounting inflationary risks. The central bank indicated the possibility of further rate increases in upcoming meetings and forecasts that annual inflation will decline to 4.5–5.0% in 2025.
View original story
Similar markets
Below 8.9% • 25%
8.9% - 9.2% • 25%
Above 9.2% • 25%
10% or higher • 25%
Above 10% • 25%
Between 8% and 10% • 25%
Between 6% and 8% • 25%
Below 6% • 25%
Below 10% • 25%
10% to 12% • 25%
12% to 15% • 25%
Above 15% • 25%
Below 7% • 25%
7% to 9% • 25%
9% to 11% • 25%
Above 11% • 25%
Below 8% • 25%
8% to 9.2% • 25%
9.3% to 10% • 25%
Above 10% • 25%