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Market
Risk Factor with Most Significant Public Health Initiative by End of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
High blood pressure • 25%
Diabetes • 25%
Obesity • 25%
Smoking • 25%
Public health announcements, reports from health organizations
Story
U.S. Dementia Cases to Reach 1 Million Annually by 2060, Tripling Among Black Americans
Jan 13, 2025, 08:06 PM
A new study published in the journal Nature Medicine projects that the number of new dementia cases in the U.S. will double by 2060, rising from about 514,000 annually in 2020 to approximately 1 million each year. The research indicates that the lifetime risk of developing dementia after age 55 is approximately 42%, with a 4 in 10 chance for individuals. Women face a higher risk of 48% compared to 35% for men. The study also highlights a disproportionate impact on Black Americans, with a 44% risk compared to 41% for white Americans, predicting that their dementia cases will triple by 2060. This increase in dementia prevalence is attributed to the aging population and underscores the urgent need for policies to support healthy aging and manage risk factors such as high blood pressure and diabetes.
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Other initiatives • 25%
Healthcare access improvements • 25%
Public health campaigns • 25%
Increased funding for research • 25%
Increased exercise • 25%
Cognitive training • 25%
Social engagement • 25%
Dietary changes • 25%
Lifestyle factors • 25%
Genetic predisposition • 25%
Socioeconomic status • 25%
Other factors • 25%
Genetic Interventions • 25%
Lifestyle Changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Medication • 25%
Increased oversight on research funding • 25%
Reevaluation of pandemic response strategies • 25%
Improved fraud prevention measures • 25%
Public communication and trust-building • 25%
Increases significantly • 25%
Decreases • 25%
Remains the same • 25%
Increases slightly • 25%
State government initiative • 25%
Non-profit organization initiative • 25%
No major campaigns launched • 25%
Federal government initiative • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reallocation of resources • 25%
Reduced funding for specific programs • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Processed Meat Consumption • 25%
Alcohol Consumption • 25%
Other Factors • 25%
Lack of Calcium • 25%
Increased by more than 30% • 25%
Increased by 30% • 25%
Increased by 10% • 25%
Increased by 20% • 25%
Red meat • 25%
Dairy • 25%
Processed foods • 25%
Sugar • 25%