Loading...
Market
Recount in any state for 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from state election boards
Story
Trump Leads Harris by 1.8% in Popular Vote with 76.5M Votes Counted; 493M Views on TikTok
Nov 16, 2024, 02:33 PM
As of November 16, 2024, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in the popular vote with 76.5 million votes compared to Harris's 73.9 million. Trump's lead has narrowed to approximately 1.8 percentage points, marking a significant decrease from earlier in the election cycle. Over 152 million votes have been counted, with about 4 million votes remaining. Despite his lead, Trump is trending toward receiving less than a majority of the popular vote, currently at 50.06%. This election has seen Harris achieving the fourth-most votes of any presidential candidate in U.S. history and the most by any woman, surpassing Barack Obama's totals from both 2008 and 2012. Trump's current margin over Harris is noted to be one of the lowest for a president-elect in American history, indicating a closely contested election.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Arizona • 14%
Michigan • 14%
Nevada • 14%
Wisconsin • 14%
North Carolina • 14%
Georgia • 14%
Pennsylvania • 14%
Nevada • 25%
Arizona • 25%
Georgia • 25%
Other • 25%
Recounts change outcome • 25%
Recounts confirm Trump win • 25%
Recounts confirm Biden win • 25%
No significant recount impact • 25%