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Market
Range of additional capital secured by UBS by end of 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than $10 billion • 25%
$10 billion to $15 billion • 25%
$15 billion to $20 billion • 25%
More than $20 billion • 25%
Official UBS financial disclosures or statements from Swiss regulators
Story
UBS May Need Up to $25 Billion Extra Capital, Growth May Slow: Swiss Finance Minister
Apr 16, 2024, 06:21 AM
UBS may need to secure an additional $10 billion to $25 billion in capital to comply with new Swiss regulations, according to various analysts and statements from Swiss Finance Minister Karin Keller-Sutter. These changes are part of a broader reform effort following the collapse of Credit Suisse, aiming to strengthen the financial system by enhancing the regulatory framework. The finance minister noted that the new capital requirements would likely slow UBS's growth. However, analyst Liam Proud mentioned there's no indication that the finance minister would be more inclined to wind down a failing lender in the future.
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Increase in capital reserves • 25%
Restructuring of assets • 25%
Reduction in risky investments • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Stock price increases by 5% or more • 25%
Stock price increases less than 5% • 25%
Stock price decreases • 25%
Stock price remains stable (+/- 1%) • 25%
Profit exceeds expectations • 33%
Profit meets expectations • 33%
Profit falls short of expectations • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase 10% or more • 33%
Increase less than 10% • 33%
Decrease or remain unchanged • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than $600 million • 25%
$600 million to $1 billion • 25%
$1 billion to $1.2 billion • 25%
More than $1.2 billion • 25%