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Market
Primary Source of H5N1 Transmission in Next U.S. Case by March 31, 2025
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Backyard birds • 25%
Commercial poultry • 25%
Wild birds • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) case reports or official health department announcements
Story
First Severe U.S. Human H5N1 Bird Flu Case Confirmed; Louisiana Patient Linked to Sick Backyard Birds
Dec 18, 2024, 05:15 PM
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has confirmed the first severe human case of H5N1 bird flu in the United States on December 18, 2024. The patient, hospitalized in Louisiana since December 13, was exposed to sick and dead birds in backyard flocks. This marks the country's 61st human infection with H5N1, the first in Louisiana. The virus is identified as genotype D1.1. According to the CDC, no person-to-person transmission has been detected, and the risk to the general public remains low.
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Direct contact with infected birds • 25%
Human-to-human transmission • 25%
Other • 25%
Raw milk consumption • 25%
Backyard chickens • 25%
Other • 25%
Wild birds • 25%
Commercial poultry farms • 25%
Bird operations exposure • 25%
Dairy cattle exposure • 25%
Other sources • 25%
Wild bird exposure • 25%
Other • 25%
Livestock exposure • 25%
Wild birds • 25%
Mammals • 25%
Commercial poultry • 25%
Other • 25%
Backyard flocks • 25%
Wild birds • 25%
Environment-to-human • 25%
Other • 25%
Bird-to-human • 25%
Human-to-human • 25%
Other • 25%
Backyard flocks • 25%
Commercial poultry farms • 25%
Wild birds • 25%
Imported birds • 25%
Other • 25%
Backyard poultry • 25%
Wild birds • 25%
Human-to-human • 25%
Environmental exposure • 25%
Other • 25%
Animal-to-human • 25%
Wild birds • 25%
Domestic poultry • 25%
Human-to-human • 25%
Other • 25%
