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Primary reason for Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire breaking prematurely?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Military aggression by Israel • 25%
Military aggression by Hezbollah • 25%
External intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international monitors, Israeli government, Hezbollah, or major news outlets
Story
Israel Approves 60-Day Ceasefire with Hezbollah in Lebanon
Nov 26, 2024, 06:27 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced that the Israeli government has approved a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah in Lebanon. In a televised address on Tuesday after meeting with his security cabinet, Netanyahu stated that the cabinet would adopt the ceasefire plan that evening. The agreement aims to end ongoing hostilities along the Israel-Lebanon border with the Lebanese movement Hezbollah. The ceasefire, reportedly supported by the United States and other Western allies, is expected to last for 60 days.
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Hezbollah military action • 25%
Israeli military action • 25%
External political pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Cross-border skirmish • 25%
Rocket fire • 25%
Airspace violation • 25%
Other • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Military actions • 25%
External interventions • 25%
Other • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
International mediation issues • 25%
Other • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Mutual agreement • 25%
Pressure from neighboring countries • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Hezbollah offensive actions • 25%
IDF defensive actions • 25%
Accidental cross-border incidents • 25%
Other • 25%
Border Incidents • 25%
Political Statements • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Movements • 25%
Military strategy • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
International support • 25%
Public support • 25%
Permanent peace agreement • 25%
Extended ceasefire • 25%
Return to conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
