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Market
Primary reason for Assad's asylum in Russia by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Humanitarian grounds • 25%
Political instability in Syria • 25%
International diplomatic pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Russian government or media reports
Story
Russian State Media Reports Assad and Family Granted Asylum in Moscow on Humanitarian Grounds
Dec 8, 2024, 05:54 PM
Russian state media, including TASS and RIA Novosti, citing Kremlin sources, report that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and his family have arrived in Moscow. Russia has granted them political asylum on humanitarian grounds.
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Other • 25%
Strategic interests • 25%
Political stability • 25%
Humanitarian grounds • 25%
Humanitarian reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Political stability • 25%
Other • 25%
Exile negotiations • 25%
Medical treatment • 25%
Political asylum • 25%