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Market
Primary motive for Moskowitz assassination plot by March 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Antisemitic motives • 25%
Political motives • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from law enforcement or court documents
Story
Florida Rep. Moskowitz Reveals Assassination Plot, Suspect Arrested with Manifesto
Nov 9, 2024, 12:05 AM
Representative Jared Moskowitz (D-FL) disclosed that he was the target of a potential assassination plot. The Margate Police Department informed him of the threat the day before the election, leading to the arrest of a convicted felon near his home. The suspect was found with a rifle, body armor, and a manifesto containing antisemitic rhetoric and Moskowitz's name on a target list. Moskowitz has been vocal about his criticism of former President Donald Trump and MAGA Republicans for their antisemitism.
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FBI • 25%
Local Police • 25%
Secret Service • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased security concerns • 25%
Political backlash • 25%
Heightened antisemitism awareness • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Political • 25%
Personal • 25%
Financial • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Political • 25%
Personal • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Foreign espionage • 25%
Internal political conflict • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Other • 25%
Political • 25%
Personal • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Political • 25%
Personal • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Other • 25%
