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Market
Primary method of Chechen retaliation in Ukraine by January 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased ground assaults • 25%
Air strikes • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and military analysts
Story
Chechen Leader Orders No Prisoners After Drone Attack on Vladimir Putin Military Academy, Vows 100% Retaliation
Oct 29, 2024, 01:30 PM
A drone attack on a military academy in Chechnya has sparked a fierce response from Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov. The attack, which caused a fire at the Vladimir Putin police academy in Grozny, resulted in no casualties or significant damage, according to Kadyrov. In retaliation, Kadyrov has ordered Chechen commanders on the frontline not to take Ukrainian soldiers prisoner and vowed to intensify the fight against Ukraine by 100%. This directive has been widely condemned as a violation of wartime conduct and an admission of war crimes. Kadyrov's statements have escalated tensions in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict.
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Ground assault • 25%
Air strikes • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Increased Military Presence • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Other • 25%
Missile Strike • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
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Other • 25%
Missiles • 25%
Drones • 25%
Ground forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
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Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Drone Strikes • 25%
Missile Strikes • 25%
Sabotage Operations • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Cyberattacks • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Other • 25%
Social media disinformation • 25%
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Propaganda broadcasts • 25%
No significant operations • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
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Cyberattack • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
