Loading...
Market
Primary ISIS response to U.S. airstrike by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased attacks in Syria • 25%
Retaliatory attacks outside Syria • 25%
Public statement condemning the U.S. • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from ISIS or analysis by credible intelligence agencies
Story
U.S. Airstrike in Dayr az Zawr, Syria Kills Two ISIS Operatives, Wounds One, Destroys Truckload of Weapons on December 23
Dec 24, 2024, 02:42 AM
On December 23, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces conducted a precision airstrike in the Dayr az Zawr Province of Syria, resulting in the deaths of two ISIS operatives and wounding one. The operation also destroyed a truckload of weapons. This airstrike targeted an area previously controlled by the Assad regime and Russia, underscoring ongoing military efforts against ISIS in the region.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased recruitment efforts • 25%
Retaliatory attacks • 25%
Relocation of operatives • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased attacks in Syria • 25%
Increased attacks outside Syria • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
101 to 150 • 25%
More than 150 • 25%