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Market
Primary international response to North Korea's next satellite launch
5
North Korea•Japan•International Maritime Organization•Yellow Sea•Luzon Island•Japan Coast Guard•Okinawa Prefecture•South Korea•North Korean
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military posturing • 33%
UN Security Council statements, government press releases
Story
North Korea's Failed Satellite Launch Triggers J-Alert in Okinawa
May 27, 2024, 02:05 PM
North Korea has notified Japan and the International Maritime Organization of its plan to launch a reconnaissance satellite between May 27 and June 4, targeting the Yellow Sea and Luzon Island. The Japan Coast Guard issued navigational warnings, and Japan demanded the cancellation of the launch. On May 27, North Korea fired a projectile, triggering Japan's J-Alert system and prompting residents in Okinawa Prefecture to take shelter. The projectile, initially believed to be a ballistic missile, exploded shortly after launch. South Korea's military confirmed the launch was an attempt to deploy a military spy satellite, which failed due to a malfunction in the rocket's liquid fuel engine. Debris from the failed launch, including multiple fragments, was found in North Korean waters.
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Condemnations and new sanctions • 33%
Formal diplomatic protests without new sanctions • 33%
No significant international reaction • 34%
Condemnation • 33%
Sanctions • 33%
No significant action • 34%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
Increased sanctions • 33%
Military readiness increase • 34%
Increased sanctions • 33%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
No significant response • 34%
New sanctions • 33%
UN condemnation • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Further missile tests • 33%
Diplomatic engagement • 33%
No further actions • 34%
Successful orbit entry • 33%
Failure in launch or trajectory • 33%
Successful launch but fails to enter orbit • 34%
UN sanctions • 33%
Bilateral talks • 33%
No significant action • 34%
UN Sanctions • 25%
International Condemnation • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
No Response • 25%
Formal Protest • 25%
Economic Retaliation • 25%
Military Demonstration • 25%
No significant response • 33%
Diplomatic condemnation • 33%
Economic sanctions • 34%