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Primary Cost Reduction Strategy for MSR by Mid-2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Partnership with private sector • 33%
Technology innovation • 33%
Mission scope reduction • 34%
Official NASA reports or verified public disclosures
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NASA, Under Bill Nelson, Revises Mars Mission to Cut Costs from $11 Billion
Apr 15, 2024, 06:51 PM
NASA is revising its Mars Sample Return (MSR) program, led by Administrator Bill Nelson, in response to an independent review that highlighted the prohibitive costs and extended timelines associated with the current mission design. The review estimated the program could cost up to $11 billion, prompting NASA to seek alternatives to reduce the budget to approximately $5.9 billion, as originally recommended in the NSF Decadal Survey. The agency is now soliciting ideas from JPL, other NASA centers, and the private sector for more cost-effective and timely mission designs, involving samples collected by the Perseverance rover. Although launches were initially planned for the 2027-2028 timeframe, the new goal is to ensure the return of samples in the 2030s, rather than 2040 or later.
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ESA (European Space Agency) • 25%
JAXA (Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency) • 25%
Roscosmos (Russian Space Agency) • 25%
ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation) • 25%
Collaboration with NASA • 33%
Collaboration with ESA • 33%
Collaboration with Roscosmos • 33%
Boeing • 33%
SpaceX • 33%
Other Company • 34%
Astrobiology • 33%
Geology • 34%
Technology Testing • 33%
NASA and ESA • 25%
NASA and Roscosmos • 25%
NASA and CNSA • 25%
No new collaborations • 25%
Satellite launch • 25%
Human flight • 25%
Cargo mission • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in funding • 33%
Funding remains stable • 33%
Reduction in funding • 34%
Department of Defense • 25%
NASA • 25%
Private Sector • 25%
International Government • 25%
Lockheed Martin • 17%
SpaceX • 17%
Blue Origin • 17%
Aerojet Rocketdyne • 17%
Quantum Space • 17%
Northrop Grumman • 17%
Increased investment in lunar missions • 25%
Focus shifts to other types of space missions • 25%
Cooperation with other nations in space exploration • 25%
Reduction in space mission initiatives • 25%
Artemis to the Moon • 33%
Mars Sample Return Mission • 33%
Europa Clipper Mission • 34%