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Market
Percentage of Senior FBI Executives Retiring by Dec 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
21% to 30% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
Official announcements from the FBI or credible news sources reporting on retirements
Story
50 Senior FBI Executives, DOJ Employees Consider Retirement Amid Collective Dread Following Trump's 2024 Election Victory
Nov 10, 2024, 11:53 AM
Following Donald Trump's decisive victory in the 2024 presidential election, a significant number of senior executives at the FBI and Department of Justice (DOJ) are reportedly considering retirement. Sources indicate that at least 50 senior FBI officials are 'stunned' and 'shell-shocked' by the election outcome, prompting some to rush toward immediate retirement. Concerns about job security and the implications of Trump's return have led to a pervasive sense of dread among DOJ employees, with many contemplating leaving their positions. Reports suggest that the atmosphere within these federal agencies has shifted dramatically, with career attorneys expressing anxiety over potential threats from Trump and his allies. The situation reflects broader unease within the federal workforce as the prospect of a second Trump term looms.
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Similar markets
None • 25%
1-2 officials • 25%
3-4 officials • 25%
5 or more officials • 25%
Kash Patel Appointed • 25%
Christopher Wray Retained • 25%
New Nominee Announced • 25%
No Change Announced • 25%
Current director remains • 25%
Director replaced • 25%
Director resigns • 25%
Other leadership changes • 25%
Higher than usual • 33%
Lower than usual • 33%
About the same • 34%
Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
101 to 200 • 25%
More than 200 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased • 25%
Decreased • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Data unavailable • 25%
