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Market
Percentage of seats won by LDP in Japan's lower house election on October 27, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 40% • 25%
40% to 49% • 25%
50% to 59% • 25%
60% or more • 25%
Official election results published by the Japanese government or major news outlets
Story
Japan PM Ishiba Dissolves Lower House for October 27 Election
Oct 9, 2024, 07:11 AM
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has dissolved Japan's lower house of parliament on Wednesday, setting the stage for a snap election on October 27. This move comes as Ishiba seeks a fresh mandate from the public following his recent victory in the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leadership race. The dissolution aims to consolidate his party's majority and pave the way for future reforms.
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Less than 40% • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
51% to 60% • 25%
More than 60% • 25%
Less than 40% • 25%
40% to 49.99% • 25%
50% to 59.99% • 25%
60% or more • 25%
Gain seats • 25%
Lose seats but retain majority • 25%
Lose majority • 25%
Lose majority and form coalition • 25%
153-179 • 25%
180-206 • 25%
207-233 • 25%
234 or more • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 60% • 25%
60% to 70% • 25%
Above 70% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 153 seats • 25%
153 to 199 seats • 25%
200 to 232 seats • 25%
233 or more seats • 25%