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Outcomes of Musk's role in Washington by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Musk gains official position • 25%
Musk remains an unofficial advisor • 25%
Musk's influence diminishes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official government announcements
Story
Trump Dismisses 'President Musk' Claims in Phoenix, Citing Musk's Foreign Birth as Disqualification
Dec 22, 2024, 09:44 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has publicly dismissed claims that he has ceded the presidency to Elon Musk, calling such assertions a 'hoax.' Speaking at a recent event, Trump stated, 'No, he’s not going to be President, that I can tell you. I’m safe. You know why? He can’t be; he wasn’t born in this country.' Trump emphasized that while he appreciates Musk's contributions, particularly in technology and innovation, the notion of Musk assuming the presidency is unfounded. He reiterated that Musk's foreign birth disqualifies him from holding the office, reinforcing his position amidst ongoing discussions about Musk's influence in Washington. Trump's remarks came in response to growing criticism from Democrats regarding Musk's role in the administration and his involvement in legislative matters, including recent budget negotiations.
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Increased campaign funding • 25%
Policy influence • 25%
Public backlash • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Indeterminate impact • 25%
Streamlined Government Operations • 25%
Increased Privatization • 25%
Reduced Regulatory Oversight • 25%
Other • 25%
Unofficial Co-President • 25%
Advisor with conflict-of-interest rules • 25%
No formal role • 25%
Other • 25%
Advisor • 25%
Cabinet Member • 25%
No Official Role • 25%
Other • 25%
Advisor • 25%
Lobbyist • 25%
No official role • 25%
Other roles • 25%
Promoted to a higher position • 25%
Remains as co-leader of DOGE • 25%
Steps down from the role • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Settled in Musk's favor • 25%
Settled against Musk • 25%
Ongoing with no resolution • 25%
Mutual settlement • 25%
Significant cost reduction in government • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased government costs • 25%
Position dissolved • 25%
Department of Government Efficiency • 25%
Other government role • 25%
No government role • 25%
Other initiative • 25%
Increase in Tesla stock value • 25%
Increase in SpaceX contracts • 25%
Decrease in Tesla stock value • 25%
No significant business impact • 25%