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Outcome of US-UAE Discussions on Syria Sanctions by Dec 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions lifted • 25%
Sanctions remain • 25%
Partial lifting • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Official announcements or credible news reports from sources like Reuters or Al Jazeera
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US, UAE Discuss Lifting Syria Sanctions in Israel-Lebanon Deal if Assad Cuts Ties with Iran, Hezbollah
Dec 2, 2024, 12:22 PM
The United States and the United Arab Emirates have discussed the potential lifting of sanctions on Syria. According to sources cited by Reuters, the proposal hinges on Syrian President Bashar al-Assad distancing his government from Iran and halting the supply of weapons to Hezbollah. The discussions reportedly aim to reduce Hezbollah's influence in the region as part of a broader Israel-Lebanon deal, but the strategy has faced criticism, with some describing it as foreign policy malpractice. Critics argue that Assad, seen as closely aligned with Iran, is unlikely to act against Tehran’s interests.
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No change • 25%
Syria cuts ties with Iran • 25%
Syria halts Hezbollah weapons transfers • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
Sanctions lifted, ties cut • 25%
Sanctions lifted, ties maintained • 25%
Sanctions maintained, ties cut • 25%
Sanctions maintained, ties maintained • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Increased military intervention • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
