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Market
Outcome of U.S. decision on Poland's request to shoot down Russian missiles by end of 2024
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approved • 33%
Denied • 33%
No decision • 34%
Official U.S. government or NATO announcements
Story
Bipartisan Push for Biden to Allow Poland to Shoot Down Russian Missiles Over Ukraine, NATO Support
Oct 30, 2024, 12:41 PM
Bipartisan House members are urging President Biden to grant Poland permission to shoot down Russian missiles over Ukraine. Poland has formally requested U.S. approval for this action, which is seen as a necessary and urgent measure to support Ukraine and safeguard NATO's eastern borders. The US Helsinki Commission supports Poland's request.
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Poland intercepts missiles with NATO consent • 25%
Poland intercepts missiles without NATO consent • 25%
NATO changes policy to allow independent interception • 25%
No interception occurs • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Shoot down missiles before entering Polish airspace • 25%
Shoot down missiles only if they enter Polish airspace • 25%
Take no action • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Interception without NATO consent • 25%
Interception with NATO consent • 25%
No interception • 25%
Other • 25%
Approval • 25%
Rejection • 25%
Postponement • 25%
Conditional Approval • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
