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Outcome of US airstrike campaign against ISIS in Syria by Dec 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in ISIS presence • 25%
Moderate reduction in ISIS presence • 25%
No change in ISIS presence • 25%
Increase in ISIS presence • 25%
Reports from U.S. Central Command, United Nations, or credible news agencies
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US Airstrike on December 23 in Dayr az Zawr Province Kills Two ISIS Operatives and Wounds One, Destroys Truckload of Weapons
Dec 24, 2024, 02:44 AM
On December 23, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces conducted a precision airstrike in Syria's Dayr az Zawr Province, resulting in the deaths of two ISIS operatives and wounding one. The operation targeted a vehicle transporting a truckload of weapons, which was located in an area previously controlled by the Assad regime and Russia. CENTCOM confirmed the details of the strike, emphasizing its focus on eliminating threats posed by ISIS in the region.
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Significant reduction in ISIS activity • 25%
Moderate reduction in ISIS activity • 25%
No significant change in ISIS activity • 25%
Increase in ISIS activity • 25%
Significant weakening of ISIS • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increase in ISIS activity • 25%
ISIS relocates operations • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
101 to 150 • 25%
More than 150 • 25%
Significant degradation of ISIS • 25%
Stalemate with ISIS • 25%
ISIS resurgence • 25%
Complete defeat of ISIS • 25%
