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Outcome of the next Venezuelan presidential election post U.S. sanctions
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Maduro re-elected • 33%
Opposition candidate wins • 33%
Elections postponed or canceled • 34%
Election results published by Venezuela's National Electoral Council
Story
Biden to Reinstate Venezuela Oil Sanctions by Thursday Over Election Failures
Apr 17, 2024, 09:24 PM
The Biden administration has indicated that it will reimpose oil sanctions on Venezuela this Thursday if President Nicolas Maduro's regime does not take immediate steps to honor its commitments under the Barbados Agreement to allow free and fair elections. U.S. officials have expressed concerns over Maduro's failure to meet the conditions required for a democratic process, including allowing opposition candidates to register for the upcoming presidential elections. The sanctions, which had been temporarily lifted, are set to be reinstated due to the lack of progress in meeting these electoral commitments by the sanctions relief deadline. This move may cost the Venezuelan government hundreds of millions of dollars and is seen as a measure to pressure Maduro's government to adhere to democratic norms.
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Nicolas Maduro wins • 40%
Edmundo Gonzalez wins • 40%
Other candidate wins • 20%
Free and fair • 25%
Minor irregularities • 25%
Major irregularities • 25%
Election deemed invalid • 25%
Recognize election results • 33%
Denounce election results • 33%
Indeterminate or no comment • 34%
Incumbent wins • 40%
Opposition wins • 40%
Election postponed • 20%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased instability • 34%
Stability maintained • 33%
Improved stability • 33%
Partial relief of sanctions • 33%
Full removal of sanctions • 33%
No change in sanctions • 34%
Jorge Álvarez Máynez wins • 33%
Jorge Álvarez Máynez loses • 33%
Election results contested • 34%
All convicted • 33%
Partial convictions • 33%
All acquitted • 34%