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Outcome of the next French budget proposal by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approved without major changes • 25%
Approved with major changes • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Not proposed • 25%
Official announcement by the French government or credible news sources
Story
French Government Falls as Left and Far-Right Unite in No-Confidence Vote
Dec 4, 2024, 07:32 PM
French Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government has collapsed after losing a no-confidence vote in parliament with 331 lawmakers supporting the motion. The vote, held on Wednesday, saw left and far-right parties unite to topple Barnier's administration after just three months in office. This marks the first time since 1962 that a French government has been ousted via a no-confidence motion. The political crisis was triggered after Barnier bypassed parliamentary approval for a controversial budget, leaving France without a functioning government or budget as it approaches the new year, plunging the country into deep uncertainty.
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Government survives without changes • 25%
Government faces a successful motion of censure • 25%
Government makes significant concessions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Budget passes without Article 49.3 • 25%
Budget passes with Article 49.3 • 25%
Budget fails, motion of censure passes • 25%
Budget fails, no motion of censure • 25%
Full agreement with RN demands • 25%
Partial concessions to RN • 25%
No concessions to RN • 25%
Budget not passed • 25%
Budget passed without amendments • 25%
Budget passed with minor amendments • 25%
Budget passed with major amendments • 25%
Budget rejected • 25%
Socialist Party calls for further protests • 25%
La France Insoumise initiates further legal action • 25%
Ecologist group proposes alternative budget • 25%
No significant action from any party • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Budget passed as initially proposed • 25%
Budget passed with major amendments • 25%
Budget rejected and reintroduced • 25%
Other resolution • 25%