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Outcome of Tbilisi protests by June 30, 2025?
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Mikheil Kavelashvili•West•Georgia•South Caucasus•European Union•Tbilisi•Georgian•EU•Salomé Zourabichvili•Georgian Dream party•Moscow•Kavelashvili
Resolution / Starting Odds
Protests lead to government concessions • 25%
Protests dissipate without change • 25%
Protests escalate into violent clashes • 25%
Other significant outcomes • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official government announcements
Story
Mikheil Kavelashvili Sworn In as Georgia's President Amid Political Crisis and EU Application Freeze
Dec 29, 2024, 07:52 AM
Mikheil Kavelashvili, a hardline critic of the West and known for his ultraconservative views, was sworn in as Georgia's president on December 29, 2024. His inauguration comes amid a political crisis in the South Caucasus nation, following a controversial election held on December 14, 2024, which was boycotted by the opposition. The government has frozen European Union application talks, sparking widespread protests that began on December 28, including a human chain formed in Tbilisi. Approximately 2,000 demonstrators gathered outside the presidential palace during the ceremony, holding Georgian and EU flags. Salomé Zourabichvili, the outgoing president and a pro-EU figure, declared herself the 'only legitimate president' and vowed to continue fighting against the ruling Georgian Dream party, which has been accused of steering the country towards Moscow. Despite the largely symbolic nature of the presidency, Kavelashvili's election has intensified political tensions in Georgia.
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Other • 25%
Protests Dissipate • 25%
Increased Repression • 25%
Government Concessions • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Government crackdown intensifies • 25%
Government reverses decision • 25%
Protests subside without change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Crackdowns • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Protests Dissolve • 25%
Government Concessions • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
Kavelashvili resignation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased repression • 25%
Protests lead to policy change • 25%
Protests lead to government resignation • 25%
Protests are suppressed without change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Increased international intervention • 25%
Protests subside without major change • 25%
Kavelashvili steps down • 25%
Protests are suppressed without changes • 25%
Protests continue without resolution • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Protests successfully lead to policy changes • 25%
Escalation of protests • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
New elections • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
New Elections Called • 25%
Other • 25%
Government Reshuffle • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Kavelashvili remains president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Zourabichvili returns to power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Kavelashvili recognized as president • 25%
Zourabichvili remains president • 25%
New elections held • 25%