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Outcome of Roblox's response to Hindenburg allegations by end of 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Roblox vindicated • 25%
Hindenburg's claims validated • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Official statements from Roblox or Hindenburg, or court rulings
Story
Hindenburg Takes Short Position on Roblox, Shares Fall 9%
Oct 8, 2024, 01:51 PM
Hindenburg Research has issued a critical report on Roblox Corporation, alleging that the company has inflated key user metrics and allowed inappropriate content on its platform. The report claims that Roblox has misled investors, regulators, and advertisers by overstating its active user numbers by 25-42% and failing to moderate harmful content, which includes adult themes and potential grooming risks for children. Hindenburg has taken a short position in Roblox, describing the platform as a 'pedophile hellscape.' Following the release of the report, Roblox shares fell by approximately 9% in pre-market trading. Roblox has responded to the allegations, stating that it 'totally rejects' the claims made by Hindenburg, asserting that the financial claims are 'simply misleading.'
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Legal action against Hindenburg • 25%
Increased transparency • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Lawsuit against Hindenburg • 25%
Settlement with Hindenburg • 25%
Public apology • 25%
No further action • 25%
Deny allegations • 25%
Acknowledge and promise changes • 25%
Legal action against Hindenburg • 25%
No official response • 25%
Denies allegations • 25%
Admits some allegations • 25%
Settles with Hindenburg • 25%
Takes legal action against Hindenburg • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Stock price recovers to pre-report levels • 25%
Stock price decreases further by 10% or more • 25%
Stock price remains within 5% of current level • 25%
Stock price increases by 10% or more • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Neutral impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Roblox settles out of court • 25%
Roblox wins the case • 25%
Roblox loses the case • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Roblox wins the case • 25%
Roblox settles the case • 25%
Roblox loses the case • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%