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Outcome of political tensions involving Yoon Suk Yeol by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yoon remains in office without further incidents • 25%
Yoon faces successful impeachment • 25%
Yoon resigns voluntarily • 25%
Other significant political developments • 25%
Official government announcements and credible news outlets
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Suk Yeol Vows to 'Fight Until the End' After Failed Impeachment Motion and Martial Law Decision
Jan 2, 2025, 01:41 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has issued a defiant message to his supporters, stating he will 'fight until the end' against what he describes as threats to the nation's sovereignty. In a handwritten letter addressed to his supporters gathered outside the presidential residence, Yoon emphasized the dangers posed by both domestic and foreign forces he labels as 'anti-state.' His remarks come in the wake of a failed impeachment motion against him, which has intensified scrutiny over his leadership and decisions, including a controversial declaration of martial law. The opposition has criticized Yoon's statements, accusing him of inciting conflict and escalating political tensions in South Korea. The Democratic Party has labeled his actions as a mobilization of far-right forces and has suggested that he may face additional charges of insurrection.
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Yoon exiled or flees the country • 25%
Yoon remains at large • 25%
Yoon arrested and charged • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Other • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Successfully completes term • 25%
Voluntarily surrenders • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Standoff continues • 25%
Flees the country • 25%
Banned from holding office • 25%
Continues political career • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resigns from politics • 25%
Other • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Interim government established • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maintains position • 25%
Resigns from politics • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Impeached and Removed • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Remains President • 25%
Other • 25%
New legal action delays arrest • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
Warrant expires without arrest • 25%
Remains President • 25%
Resigned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Protests continue • 25%
Protests end • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
Protests diminish • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Escalation to further conflict • 25%
Governmental changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Resolution through negotiation • 25%