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Outcome of next major Israel-Hamas conflict by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Significant territorial gains by Israel • 25%
Significant territorial gains by Hamas • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reputable international news outlets and official statements
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CENTCOM Chief Kurilla Praises IDF for Eliminating Mass-Murdering Hamas Leader Yahya Sinwar
Oct 18, 2024, 04:21 AM
General Michael Erik Kurilla, the Commander of U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), congratulated the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) on the elimination of Yahya Sinwar, the mass-murdering leader of the terrorist group Hamas. Kurilla labeled Sinwar as the mastermind behind the October 7 massacre. He warned that those who choose the path of terrorism should expect the same fate. Kurilla also mentioned that 101 hostages remain missing, including seven Americans.
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
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Escalated conflict • 25%
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Peace negotiations • 25%
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Hamas Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
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