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Outcome of next confirmed Iranian assassination plot in Israel by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Foiled by Shin Bet • 25%
Successful assassination • 25%
Attempt but failed • 25%
No further attempts • 25%
Official statements from Shin Bet or Israeli government, major news outlets
Story
Shin Bet Thwarts Multiple Iranian Assassination Plots on Senior Officials in Israel
Sep 30, 2024, 01:51 PM
The Shin Bet, Israel's security agency, has announced that it has thwarted multiple serious assassination plots linked to Iran. These plots, some in advanced stages of planning, targeted individuals in Israel, including senior officials such as the prime minister. The Shin Bet has issued a warning about an increase in Iranian attempts to carry out assassinations within Israeli territory. Iran has been attempting to recruit Israeli civilians, including one arrest involving Moti, to execute these operations. Specific details of the foiled plots have not yet been released.
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