Loading...
Market
Outcome of new French legislative elections
5
Emmanuel Macron•European Parliament•Marine Le Pen•National Rally•Le Pen•Macron•European elections•French parliament•Europe•German•Olaf Scholz•Alternative for Germany•AfD•SPD•Greens•Spain•EU
Resolution / Starting Odds
National Rally Majority • 33%
Centrist Majority • 33%
Other Party Majority • 34%
Official election results published by the French government
Story
Macron Dissolves Parliament After Le Pen's 32%-33% Victory in EU Vote; New Elections June 30, July 7
Jun 9, 2024, 07:03 PM
French President Emmanuel Macron's centrist group suffered a significant defeat in the European Parliament elections on Sunday, with Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally party securing a decisive victory. Exit polls indicate Le Pen's party garnered around 32%-33% of the vote, while Macron's group received only 15%-16%. This outcome marks Macron's worst-ever performance in European elections. In response to the defeat, Macron announced the dissolution of the French parliament and called for new legislative elections scheduled for June 30 and July 7. The results also reflect a broader trend across Europe, with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz's socialist coalition being routed by conservative and far-right parties, including the Alternative for Germany (AfD) which secured 16.5% of the vote, SPD 14%, and Greens 12%. Spain's opposition conservatives also lead in the EU vote.
View original story
Similar markets
Majority for Macron's centrist alliance • 33%
Majority for National Rally party • 33%
No clear majority • 33%
Macron's party majority • 25%
Right-wing majority • 25%
Left-wing majority • 25%
Hung parliament • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Le Pen's National Rally wins majority • 50%
Other parties win majority • 50%
National Rally wins majority • 25%
Republican Party wins majority • 25%
Socialist Party wins majority • 25%
Coalition government • 25%
Right-wing party wins majority • 25%
Left-wing party wins majority • 25%
Centrist party wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Macron's party wins majority • 25%
Macron's party forms coalition • 25%
Opposition wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Macron's party • 25%
Right-wing party • 25%
Left-wing party • 25%
Centrist party • 25%
National Rally • 33%
Leftist Alliance • 33%
Macron's Centrist Alliance • 34%
Right-wing party wins majority • 25%
Macron's party wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Coalition government • 25%