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Outcome of Malian army's advanced tech use by July 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in rebel activity • 25%
Increased rebel retaliation • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
International condemnation • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official assessments from defense analysts
Story
Mali Army Drone Strike Kills Tuareg Rebel Leaders, Escalates Conflict
Dec 1, 2024, 01:40 PM
In a significant development in Mali's ongoing conflict, the Malian army has conducted a drone strike that killed several Tuareg rebels, including a high-ranking commander, according to the Malian government and international news sources. The strike targeted a meeting of rebel leaders who had recently announced the formation of a new unified group, the Liberation Front of Azawad (FLA), dissolving existing groups like the MNLA, HUCA, MAA, and GATIA. This action has escalated tensions in the region, with the Tuareg rebels seeking independence or self-rule in northern Mali. The attack was carried out by an AKINCI UCAV, highlighting the increasing use of advanced military technology in the conflict.
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Restored Control • 25%
Partial Control • 25%
No Control • 25%
Other • 25%
Malian Army Victory • 25%
Tuareg Rebels Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Malian forces and Wagner mercenaries win • 25%
Tuareg rebels win • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Political instability • 25%
Human rights violations • 25%
Terrorism concerns • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Tuareg rebels gain control of more territory • 25%
Malian forces regain control of lost territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Launch an internal investigation • 25%
Deny involvement • 25%
Blame separatists/jihadists • 25%
Seek international aid • 25%
Increased Military Operations • 25%
Negotiations with JNIM • 25%
Request for International Assistance • 25%
Other • 25%
France • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%