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Outcome of Macron's NATO Role Threat
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased NATO involvement • 33%
NATO's role remains unchanged • 33%
Reduced NATO involvement • 34%
Official statements from NATO or French government
Story
France Deploys 1,500 Troops to Ukraine, Macron Threatens NATO Role
May 5, 2024, 08:11 PM
France has deployed 1,500 troops from the French Foreign Legion to Slavyansk, Ukraine, to support the Ukrainian 54th Independent Mechanized Brigade. The first 100 troops, specialists in artillery and surveillance, have already arrived. This marks the first official deployment of French combat troops to Ukraine, with soldiers drawn from France's 3rd Infantry Regiment. President Macron has also threatened NATO involvement, raising concerns about the potential escalation of the conflict.
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Increased support • 33%
Maintained support • 33%
Decreased support • 34%
No Response • 25%
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Increase in Military Activity • 25%
Other Actions • 25%
Increase in approval • 33%
Decrease in approval • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Major strategic shift • 33%
Minor adjustments • 33%
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Improvement • 25%
Increased support for Ukraine • 33%
Unchanged stance • 33%
Reduced support for Ukraine • 34%
Increased • 33%
Unchanged • 34%
Decreased • 33%
Increase in Support • 33%
Decrease in Support • 33%
No Change in Support • 34%
Escalation of conflict • 33%
Status quo maintained • 33%
De-escalation of conflict • 33%
Support increases • 33%
Support remains steady • 34%
Support decreases • 33%
Increase defense spending • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolutions • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
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Increased involvement • 25%
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Withdrawal from operations • 25%