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Outcome of language barrier incidents involving North Korean and Russian troops by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
No further incidents reported • 25%
Incidents continue but decrease • 25%
Incidents increase • 25%
Formal measures implemented to prevent incidents • 25%
Reports from Ukrainian intelligence, international news agencies, and military assessments
Story
North Korean Soldiers Launch First Combat in 70+ Years in Kursk, Ukraine
Dec 15, 2024, 09:05 AM
North Korean soldiers have reportedly been involved in combat operations in Russia's Kursk region, marking their first significant military engagement in over 70 years. Ukrainian intelligence reports that these soldiers, part of a combined force with Russian troops, launched massive infantry assaults across open terrain, often running into machine gun fire. This has resulted in significant casualties, with around 200 North Korean soldiers killed or injured. In a notable incident, North Korean troops mistakenly opened fire on their Russian allies, killing eight members of the Chechen Akhmat unit due to a language barrier, according to Ukrainian intelligence. Ukrainian forces have successfully repelled these assaults, with drone footage capturing the aftermath of the attacks. President Volodymyr Zelensky has confirmed the deployment of North Korean soldiers by Russia, and Ukrainian military sources estimate that approximately 11,000 North Korean soldiers have been sent to Russia, some of whom are now engaged in combat.
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Training Programs Implemented • 25%
Translation Devices Deployed • 25%
No Resolution • 25%
Other Measures • 25%
Confirmed by international bodies • 25%
Denied by North Korea and Russia • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant military impact • 25%
Minimal military impact • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Stalemate or no resolution • 25%
Engagement confirmed • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Unverified reports • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Troops withdrawn • 25%
Troops remain deployed • 25%
Troops engage in combat • 25%
Troops captured or defect • 25%
Withdrawal without engagement • 25%
Engagement without significant impact • 25%
Significant impact on conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Troops remain • 25%
Troops withdrawn • 25%
Troops increase • 25%
Troops involved in conflict • 25%
Engage in combat in Ukraine • 25%
Remain in Russia for training • 25%
Withdraw back to North Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Continued engagement with no change • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful Withdrawal • 25%
Continued Deployment • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
No Change • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%