Loading...
Market
Outcome of Israeli criticism of UNIFIL by mid-2025?
1
Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•UNIFIL•Lebanon•Israeli•Doron Kadosh•UN•Galilee•Israel•Haifa•Akko•Litani River
Resolution / Starting Odds
UNIFIL mandate revised • 25%
UNIFIL mandate unchanged • 25%
UNIFIL withdrawn • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements or actions by the United Nations or involved parties
Story
IDF Discovers Hezbollah Weapons Near UNIFIL Bases; Over 9,000 Rockets Fired at Israel
Oct 13, 2024, 04:09 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have uncovered Hezbollah tunnels, bunkers, and weapons caches situated within meters of United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) bases in southern Lebanon. Among the discoveries is a Hezbollah terror tunnel filmed by Israeli journalist Doron Kadosh, located just several dozen meters from a UNIFIL outpost. Additionally, a fortified underground bunker packed with weapons was found less than 500 meters from a UN observation post overlooking Israeli communities in the Galilee. On October 13, Hezbollah launched a massive rocket bombardment on northern Israel, including Haifa and Akko. Since October 8, 2023, Hezbollah has reportedly fired over 9,000 rockets and UAVs into Israel. Israeli officials are criticizing UNIFIL, which has been present for 18 years, for failing to enforce UN Resolution 1701—mandating the disarmament of Hezbollah and prohibiting its operations south of the Litani River. There are concerns that UNIFIL's refusal to evacuate is effectively making its personnel human shields for Hezbollah.
View original story
Similar markets
Mandate change recommended • 25%
Operational changes recommended • 25%
No changes recommended • 25%
Other • 25%
UNIFIL withdraws • 25%
UNIFIL remains with increased security • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Apology and Compensation • 25%
Denial and Justification • 25%
Military Review and Changes • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Israel not found responsible • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No report issued • 25%
Israel found responsible • 25%
Hezbollah provoked attack • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
New Resolution • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Deliberate Attack • 25%
Accidental Attack • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No Report Issued • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
Call for UNIFIL withdrawal • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
UNIFIL withdrawn • 25%
UNIFIL remains with increased security • 25%
UNIFIL remains unchanged • 25%
UNIFIL mandate expanded • 25%
UN issues a formal resolution • 25%
UN imposes sanctions • 25%
UN takes no further action • 25%
Other diplomatic measures • 25%
Israel found responsible • 25%
Attack attributed to another party • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No official investigation • 25%
Israel found responsible • 25%
Hezbollah found responsible • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Other outcome • 25%