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Outcome of first 2nd Gen Starship mission in January 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful mission • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Mission aborted • 25%
Mission outcome reports from SpaceX and FAA
Story
FAA Grants SpaceX License for Starship Flight 7 in January 2025 Using 2d Generation Starship
Dec 17, 2024, 10:50 PM
The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has granted SpaceX a launch license modification for the upcoming Starship Flight 7, which will utilize the 2d generation Starship. This authorization allows SpaceX to proceed with multiple missions using the Starship/Super Heavy vehicle, adhering to the same mission profile and vehicle configuration as the previous flight. The license was issued well ahead of the projected launch date in January 2025, indicating the FAA's commitment to enabling safe space transportation. The approval covers both the Super Heavy booster and the Starship vehicle, with no significant modifications from the previous flight.
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Complete Success • 25%
Partial Success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Mission Aborted • 25%
Successful launch and mission • 25%
Successful launch but mission failure • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Successful landing • 25%
Partial success (e.g., landing but with damage) • 25%
Failure (e.g., crash landing) • 25%
Mission aborted • 25%
Successful launch and re-entry • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Re-entry failure • 25%
Delayed launch beyond January 11, 2025 • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Mission delayed • 25%
Successful launch and booster catch • 25%
Successful launch, failed booster catch • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
One • 25%
Two • 25%
Three or more • 25%
None • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
