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Outcome of ECJ ruling for Polisario Front by end of 2025?
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European Court of Justice•ECJ•European Union•Morocco•Western Sahara•EU Commission•Sahrawi•Polisario Front
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased international recognition • 25%
New negotiations with Morocco • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from the Polisario Front
Story
ECJ Rules EU-Morocco Trade Deals Invalid in Western Sahara After Five Years
Oct 4, 2024, 10:45 AM
The European Court of Justice (ECJ) has ruled that the European Union's fisheries and agricultural agreements with Morocco, reached five years ago, are invalid in Western Sahara. The court stated that the EU Commission breached the rights of self-determination for the Sahrawi people by not including consultations with them in these deals. Additionally, the ECJ mandated that products harvested in Western Sahara must be labeled as originating from that territory, not Morocco. This decision marks a significant victory for the Polisario Front, the national liberation movement for the Sahrawi people.
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Ruling overturned • 33%
Settlement reached • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
In favor of South Africa • 25%
Against South Africa • 25%
Partial ruling • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
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Supportive • 33%
Critical • 33%
No official response • 33%
In favor of Israel • 25%
Against Israel • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
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Increased international recognition of Palestinian statehood • 25%
Increased international sanctions on Israel • 25%
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Israel ignores the ruling • 25%
International sanctions imposed • 25%
Negotiations lead to a compromise • 25%
Comprehensive apology • 25%
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New trial ordered • 25%
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