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Outcome of diplomatic efforts between Israel and Hezbollah by December 31, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement reached • 33%
Ceasefire without agreement • 33%
No agreement, continued conflict • 33%
Verified reports from major news agencies (e.g., Reuters, BBC, Al Jazeera)
Story
Iran's UN Mission Warns Israel of 'Obliterating War' Over Potential Hezbollah Attack in Lebanon
Jun 29, 2024, 12:10 PM
Iran's UN mission has issued a stern warning to Israel, stating that any full-scale military aggression against Lebanon, where Hezbollah is based, will lead to an 'obliterating war.' The statement, posted on the official X account of Iran's mission to the UN, emphasized that all options are on the table if Israel launches a comprehensive attack. Iran considers the Zionist regime's threats as psychological warfare but warned of a 'war of annihilation' if such aggression occurs. This warning comes amid heightened tensions and ongoing diplomatic efforts to prevent an escalation between Israel and Hezbollah, a Lebanese armed group backed by Iran. In response, Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz declared that if Hezbollah does not cease its attacks and withdraw from southern Lebanon, Israel will act with full force to restore security.
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Major Escalation • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Escalation continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant diplomatic progress • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Temporary truce • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-Scale War • 25%
No Major Change • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreed and implemented • 25%
Ceasefire agreed but not implemented • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations extended • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Hezbollah Victory • 25%
Israeli Victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other resolution • 25%